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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Watford logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Watford

Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')

The Match

Match Report

The Hornets moved up to third with a hard-fought away win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWatford
27.68%28.14%44.18%
Both teams to score 44.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.39%60.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.3%80.7%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88%38.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11%74.88%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68%27.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23%62.76%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 27.68%
    Watford 44.17%
    Draw 28.13%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 6.29%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.68%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 13.51%
0-2 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-3 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 44.17%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City
31.5%
Draw
19.6%
Watford
49.0%
143
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford
Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')
Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
Jan 3, 2017 8pm
Nov 27, 2016 12pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Amrabat (24'), Britos (26'), Holebas (40'), Behrami (93')
Britos (90')
Gomes (29' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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