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Championship | Gameweek 23
Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Watford

Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')

The Match

Match Report

The Swans move above Brentford into the automatic promotion places.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (12.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
36.32%30.42%33.26%
Both teams to score 40.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.55%66.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.11%84.89%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08%34.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34%71.66%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96%37.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17%73.83%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.31%
    Watford 33.25%
    Draw 30.41%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.6%
2-0 @ 7.16%
2-1 @ 7.11%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 12.93%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.41%
0-1 @ 12.84%
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
58.6%
Draw
15.7%
Watford
25.7%
70
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
2-1
Swansea
Welbeck (28'), Pereyra (79')
Pereyra (91')
Surridge (34')
Grimes (93')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Watford
Abraham (56')
Bony (82')
Gray (13'), Richarlison (90')
Capoue (34'), Doucoure (45'), Richarlison (90')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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