Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bournemouth in this match.