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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Luton Town

Coventry
3 - 2
Luton

Simms (59'), Torp (76'), Wright (90+2')
Kitching (13'), Sheaf (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Morris (15' pen.), Adebayo (37')
Doughty (17'), Morris (18'), McGuinness (22'), Holmes (54')
Holmes (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Luton Town

Following a frustrating share of the point at Loftus Road, Coventry will be looking to take advantage of a winnable home fixture on Saturday ahead of trips to Sunderland and Middlesbrough over the next few weeks. The Hatters were unfortunate to lose to the Black Cats last time out and should be good enough to earn a point in the East Midlands this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
51.79% (-0.262 -0.26) 23.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 24.78% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 56.67% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (0.20099999999999 0.2)44.2% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.42% (0.195 0.2)66.58% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)17.1% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)47.3% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (0.31699999999999 0.32)31.64% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (0.365 0.36)68.05% (-0.369 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 51.79%
    Luton Town 24.78%
    Draw 23.42%
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.78%

How you voted: Coventry vs Luton

Coventry City
Draw
Luton Town
Coventry City
28.2%
Draw
33.3%
Luton Town
38.5%
39
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 4.45pm
Coventry
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | Luton win 6-5 on penalties)
Hamer (66')
McNally (46')
Clark (23')
Clark (99')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Coventry
1-1
Luton
Godden (45+1' pen.)
Lockyer (1')
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
2-2
Coventry
Morris (4', 15')
Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Coventry
0-1
Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')
Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
5-0
Coventry
Adebayo (3' pen., 45+6'), Cornick (18', 58'), Berry (30')

Hamer (17'), Maatsen (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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