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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Luton Town

Plymouth
3 - 1
Luton

Hajal (8'), Cissoko (69', 90+3')
Randell (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moses (71')
Adebayo (15'), Walters (83'), Burke (87'), Clark (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Luton Town

With Plymouth seemingly improving under Rooney, we cannot rule them out of securing maximum points from this contest. On the flip side, Luton are seemingly building some momentum, leading us to back a hard-earned victory for Edwards' men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLuton Town
35.97% (0.117 0.12) 24.18% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 39.85% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (0.107 0.11)41.86% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (0.107 0.11)64.27% (-0.107 -0.11)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.113 0.11)23.09% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.163 0.16)56.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 35.97%
    Luton Town 39.85%
    Draw 24.17%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Luton

Plymouth Argyle
Draw
Luton Town
Plymouth Argyle
25.2%
Draw
15.9%
Luton Town
58.9%
151
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-0
Luton
Carey (29'), Edwards (42'), Canavan (62'), Fox (80')
Hylton (30'), Shinnie (74')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
5-1
Plymouth
Collins (12', 45' pen., 77'), Lee (23'), Justin (29')
Grant (89')
O'Keefe (52'), Carey (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Luton

Miller (45')
Hylton (50'), Marriott (69'), Smith (96')
Hylton (26'), Ruddock (55'), Potts (71'), McGeehan (98')
Potts (89')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Luton

Purrington (86')
Marriott (27')
Smith (59'), McGeehan (77'), Rea (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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