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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sunderland

Luton
1 - 2
Sunderland

Adebayo (63')
Holmes (90+8'), O'Nien (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rigg (55'), Mundle (66')
Rigg (29'), Patterson (74'), Bellingham (90+8'), Morris (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Sunderland

Following their thumping of Watford on the weekend, Luton should be confident of recording a positive result under the lights at Kenilworth Road once again, despite the league leaders being in town. Sunderland cruised to victory over Hull last time out, although we believe that the Hatters will be more of a nuisance, leading to a share of the spoils in Bedfordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
35.39% (1.879 1.88) 25.83% (0.604 0.6) 38.77% (-2.49 -2.49)
Both teams to score 54.7% (-1.681 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46% (-2.336 -2.34)49.53% (2.329 2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (-2.135 -2.14)71.56% (2.129 2.13)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.012999999999991 0.01)26.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.019999999999996 0.02)62.33% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-2.322 -2.32)25.07% (2.315 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-3.316 -3.32)59.76% (3.309 3.31)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.39%
    Sunderland 38.77%
    Draw 25.83%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.817 0.82)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.538 0.54)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.39%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.621 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.263 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.334 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.439 -0.44)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.77%

How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland

Luton Town
41.2%
Draw
22.4%
Sunderland
36.5%
85
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 8pm
Luton
2-0
Sunderland
Osho (10'), Lockyer (43')
Clark (18'), Ruddock (90+4')

O'Nien (30'), Alese (90+5')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Diallo (39'), Hume (63')
Neill (16'), O'Nien (30'), Diallo (84')
Adebayo (11')
Nakamba (29'), Ruddock (38'), Doughty (73'), Clark (77')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Diallo (86' pen.)
Doughty (51')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Morris (45+2')
Embleton (78')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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