Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton1 - 2Sunderland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Luton Town 1-1 Sunderland
Following their thumping of Watford on the weekend, Luton should be confident of recording a positive result under the lights at Kenilworth Road once again, despite the league leaders being in town. Sunderland cruised to victory over Hull last time out, although we believe that the Hatters will be more of a nuisance, leading to a share of the spoils in Bedfordshire. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
35.39% ( 1.88) | 25.83% ( 0.6) | 38.77% ( -2.49) |
| Both teams to score 54.7% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -2.34) | 49.53% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -2.14) | 71.56% ( 2.13) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( 0.01) | 26.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.66% ( 0.02) | 62.33% ( -0.03) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( -2.32) | 25.07% ( 2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.23% ( -3.32) | 59.76% ( 3.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Luton Town 35.39%
Sunderland 38.77%
Draw 25.83%
| Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.77% |
How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland
Luton Town
41.2%Draw
22.4%Sunderland
36.5%85
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
