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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sunderland

Luton
1 - 2
Sunderland

Adebayo (63')
Holmes (90+8'), O'Nien (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rigg (55'), Mundle (66')
Rigg (29'), Patterson (74'), Bellingham (90+8'), Morris (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Sunderland

Following their thumping of Watford on the weekend, Luton should be confident of recording a positive result under the lights at Kenilworth Road once again, despite the league leaders being in town. Sunderland cruised to victory over Hull last time out, although we believe that the Hatters will be more of a nuisance, leading to a share of the spoils in Bedfordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
35.39% (1.879 1.88) 25.83% (0.604 0.6) 38.77% (-2.49 -2.49)
Both teams to score 54.7% (-1.681 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46% (-2.336 -2.34)49.53% (2.329 2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (-2.135 -2.14)71.56% (2.129 2.13)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.012999999999991 0.01)26.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.019999999999996 0.02)62.33% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-2.322 -2.32)25.07% (2.315 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-3.316 -3.32)59.76% (3.309 3.31)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.39%
    Sunderland 38.77%
    Draw 25.83%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.817 0.82)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.538 0.54)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.39%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.621 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.263 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.334 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.439 -0.44)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.77%

How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland

Luton Town
41.2%
Draw
22.4%
Sunderland
36.5%
85
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 8pm
Luton
2-0
Sunderland
Osho (10'), Lockyer (43')
Clark (18'), Ruddock (90+4')

O'Nien (30'), Alese (90+5')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Diallo (39'), Hume (63')
Neill (16'), O'Nien (30'), Diallo (84')
Adebayo (11')
Nakamba (29'), Ruddock (38'), Doughty (73'), Clark (77')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Diallo (86' pen.)
Doughty (51')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Morris (45+2')
Embleton (78')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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