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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
45.54% ( -1.24) | 27.37% ( 0.34) | 27.09% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.74% ( -0.69) | 58.26% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.11% ( -0.54) | 78.89% ( 0.54) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% ( -0.92) | 25.53% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.61% ( -1.27) | 60.39% ( 1.26) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.68% ( 0.38) | 37.31% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.9% ( 0.38) | 74.1% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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