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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sunderland

Luton
1 - 1
Sunderland

Morris (45+2')
Doughty (23'), Bell (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Embleton (78')
Evans (24'), Cirkin (63'), Clarke (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 4-0 Luton
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-2 Sunderland

Luton will be desperate to bounce back after a heavy loss at Watford that ended an impressive eight-game unbeaten run in the Championship when Sunderland visit on Saturday afternoon. Both sides have attacking talent to trouble defences and both have been letting in plenty of goals of late, so we are anticipating an exciting encounter at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
47.47% (-0.128 -0.13) 26.01% (0.038 0.04) 26.52% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)53.58% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)75.08% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)22.57% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.13999999999999 -0.14)56.16% (0.143 0.14)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.032000000000011 0.03)35.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28% (0.032999999999998 0.03)72% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 47.47%
    Sunderland 26.52%
    Draw 26%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland

Luton Town
50.0%
Draw
38.2%
Sunderland
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
May 6, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-5
Sunderland

Coyne (43'), Idrizaj (45'), Keane (85'), Brkovic (89')
Murphy (6', 46'), Stokes (4')
Stokes (26'), Evans (55'), Collins (81')
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Connolly (53'), Murphy (9')
Morgan (5')
Brkovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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