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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Sunderland

Swansea
2 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (13'), Darling (45+1')
Fulton (54'), Latibeaudiere (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clarke (51')
Neill (16'), Evans (23'), Embleton (54'), Gooch (90+7'), Clarke (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Sunderland

With Swansea producing some of their best form under Martin, they will have total confidence that they can continue to strengthen their playoff bid. However, we cannot ignore that Sunderland are proving difficult to beat under Mowbray, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
41.37% (0.16699999999999 0.17) 26.23% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 32.4% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.75% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)73.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.124 0.12)24.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (0.174 0.17)59.26% (-0.175 -0.18)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)29.94% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)66.04% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.37%
    Sunderland 32.4%
    Draw 26.22%
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Swansea vs Sunderland

Swansea City
65.8%
Draw
21.9%
Sunderland
12.3%
73
Head to Head
May 13, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-2
Swansea

Larsson (58'), Khazri (78'), Gibson (84'), Borini (86')
Llorente (9'), Naughton (45')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Swansea
3-0
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (50' pen.), Llorente (54', 80')
Rangel (60')

Ndong (18'), Denayer (43')
Jan 13, 2016 7.45pm
Swansea
2-4
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (21' pen.), Ayew (40')
Naughton (37')
Defoe (3', 61', 85'), Van Aanholt (49')
Mannone (67'), van Aanholt (79')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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