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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Sunderland

Swansea
2 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (13'), Darling (45+1')
Fulton (54'), Latibeaudiere (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clarke (51')
Neill (16'), Evans (23'), Embleton (54'), Gooch (90+7'), Clarke (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Sunderland

With Swansea producing some of their best form under Martin, they will have total confidence that they can continue to strengthen their playoff bid. However, we cannot ignore that Sunderland are proving difficult to beat under Mowbray, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
41.37% (0.16699999999999 0.17) 26.23% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 32.4% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.75% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)73.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.124 0.12)24.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (0.174 0.17)59.26% (-0.175 -0.18)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)29.94% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)66.04% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.37%
    Sunderland 32.4%
    Draw 26.22%
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Swansea vs Sunderland

Swansea City
65.8%
Draw
21.9%
Sunderland
12.3%
73
Head to Head
May 13, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-2
Swansea

Larsson (58'), Khazri (78'), Gibson (84'), Borini (86')
Llorente (9'), Naughton (45')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Swansea
3-0
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (50' pen.), Llorente (54', 80')
Rangel (60')

Ndong (18'), Denayer (43')
Jan 13, 2016 7.45pm
Swansea
2-4
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (21' pen.), Ayew (40')
Naughton (37')
Defoe (3', 61', 85'), Van Aanholt (49')
Mannone (67'), van Aanholt (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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