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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Sunderland

Swansea
2 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (13'), Darling (45+1')
Fulton (54'), Latibeaudiere (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clarke (51')
Neill (16'), Evans (23'), Embleton (54'), Gooch (90+7'), Clarke (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Sunderland

With Swansea producing some of their best form under Martin, they will have total confidence that they can continue to strengthen their playoff bid. However, we cannot ignore that Sunderland are proving difficult to beat under Mowbray, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
41.37% (0.16699999999999 0.17) 26.23% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 32.4% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.75% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)73.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.124 0.12)24.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (0.174 0.17)59.26% (-0.175 -0.18)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)29.94% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)66.04% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.37%
    Sunderland 32.4%
    Draw 26.22%
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Swansea vs Sunderland

Swansea City
Draw
Sunderland
Swansea City
65.8%
Draw
21.9%
Sunderland
12.3%
73
Head to Head
May 13, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-2
Swansea

Larsson (58'), Khazri (78'), Gibson (84'), Borini (86')
Llorente (9'), Naughton (45')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Swansea
3-0
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (50' pen.), Llorente (54', 80')
Rangel (60')

Ndong (18'), Denayer (43')
Jan 13, 2016 7.45pm
Swansea
2-4
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (21' pen.), Ayew (40')
Naughton (37')
Defoe (3', 61', 85'), Van Aanholt (49')
Mannone (67'), van Aanholt (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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