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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Sunderland |
41.37% ( 0.17) | 26.23% ( -0.03) | 32.4% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( 0.08) | 51.75% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( 0.07) | 73.52% ( -0.07) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.28% ( 0.12) | 24.71% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.74% ( 0.17) | 59.26% ( -0.18) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.06% ( -0.05) | 29.94% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.95% ( -0.06) | 66.04% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.37% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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