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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Luton Town

Norwich
0 - 1
Luton


Cantwell (75')
McLean (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (62')
Potts (74'), Adebayo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Luton Town

Norwich's mini-slump is slightly concerning, but they are still scoring goals and playing well at home. Luton should not be taken lightly, though, and we expect them to leave Carrow Road with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
46.28% (0.225 0.23) 25.67% (-0.524 -0.52) 28.05% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.29% (1.803 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (2.247 2.25)51.32% (-2.253 -2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (1.929 1.93)73.14% (-1.935 -1.94)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (1.058 1.06)22.16% (-1.063 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (1.571 1.57)55.55% (-1.576 -1.58)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (1.419 1.42)32.82% (-1.424 -1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (1.55 1.55)69.39% (-1.555 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.28%
    Luton Town 28.05%
    Draw 25.67%
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.205 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.679 -0.68)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.258 0.26)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.418 -0.42)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Norwich vs Luton

Norwich City
67.5%
Draw
16.9%
Luton Town
15.7%
83
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-5
Norwich
Potts (33')
Stiepermann (4'), Drmic (7', 14', 35'), Roberts (56')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Luton
1-3
Norwich
Gambin (57')
Hanley (8'), Rhodes (14' pen.), Pukki (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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