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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Luton Town |
46.28% ( 0.23) | 25.67% ( -0.52) | 28.05% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 52.29% ( 1.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% ( 2.25) | 51.32% ( -2.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.85% ( 1.93) | 73.14% ( -1.94) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% ( 1.06) | 22.16% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% ( 1.57) | 55.55% ( -1.58) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( 1.42) | 32.82% ( -1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.61% ( 1.55) | 69.39% ( -1.55) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.68) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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