Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 0
Blackburn

Morris (58'), Burke (67')
Morris (41'), Lockyer (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Travis (45+1'), Brittain (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Coventry
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Hull City	9	-7	11
18	Luton Town	9	-1	10
19	Millwall	9	-4	10

Blackburn Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Watford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Norwich City	9	7	19
3	Blackburn Rovers	9	0	15
4	Reading	9	-5	15

We said: Luton Town 2-2 Blackburn Rovers

Although 15 places separate these two sides at present, a closely-fought contest is to be expected at Kenilworth Road. Both teams have had plenty of joy in front of goal in recent weeks and we can see an entertaining score draw played out this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
46.65% ( -0.3)	26.86% ( -0.08)	26.49% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 47.65% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.21% (

0.52)

56.79% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.27% (

0.41)

77.73% (

-0.41)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.66% (

0.08)

24.34% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.27% (

0.12)

58.74% (

-0.12)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.98% (

0.61)

37.02% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.19% (

0.6)

73.81% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 46.65%

Blackburn Rovers 26.49%

Draw 26.86%

Luton Town	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 46.65%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.49%