Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton2 - 1Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Luton
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Luton Town 1-1 Middlesbrough
While this is a key fixture for both sides, there may be acknowledgement that solidifying their current spots is more important than making an unlikely bid to topple the Blades. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out between two strong teams. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
43.18% ( -0.43) | 24.89% ( 0.23) | 31.93% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
