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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Luton Town

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Luton

McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton Town

With both teams producing fine efforts in the FA Cup, they may struggle to replicate those performances during this contest. There is an argument that this is a true 50-50 contest, but the extra rest and home advantage could prove pivotal for Boro, and we are backing a narrow victory for the North-East outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
46.61%27.16%26.23%
Both teams to score 46.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42%58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31%78.69%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11%24.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49%59.5%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1%37.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.33%74.67%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 46.6%
    Luton Town 26.23%
    Draw 27.15%
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.85%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 26.23%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Luton

Middlesbrough
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Luton Town
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Middlesbrough
Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
Aug 2, 2019 7.45pm
Luton
3-3
Middlesbrough
Bradley (17'), Cranie (24'), Collins (85')
Ruddock (45'), Collins (49')
Fletcher (7'), Assombalonga (37'), Wing (68')
Fletcher (39'), Wing (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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