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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Luton Town

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Luton

McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton Town

With both teams producing fine efforts in the FA Cup, they may struggle to replicate those performances during this contest. There is an argument that this is a true 50-50 contest, but the extra rest and home advantage could prove pivotal for Boro, and we are backing a narrow victory for the North-East outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
46.61%27.16%26.23%
Both teams to score 46.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42%58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31%78.69%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11%24.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49%59.5%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1%37.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.33%74.67%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 46.6%
    Luton Town 26.23%
    Draw 27.15%
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.85%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 26.23%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Luton

Middlesbrough
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Luton Town
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Middlesbrough
Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
Aug 2, 2019 7.45pm
Luton
3-3
Middlesbrough
Bradley (17'), Cranie (24'), Collins (85')
Ruddock (45'), Collins (49')
Fletcher (7'), Assombalonga (37'), Wing (68')
Fletcher (39'), Wing (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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