

Luton2 - 1Barnsley
We said: Luton Town 2-0 Barnsley
It is very difficult to back Barnsley at the moment considering their struggles, and we are finding it really tough to predict anything other than a home success here. Luton are so close to the playoff positions and will be confident of putting another three points on the board in this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
49.22% | 25.82% | 24.96% |
Both teams to score 49.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.08% | 53.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.62% | 75.38% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% | 21.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% | 55.21% |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.24% | 36.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.45% | 73.55% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.12% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.07% 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.96% |