FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Feb 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
0 - 3
Luton

May (46'), Digby (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Burke (16'), Mendes Gomes (23'), Muskwe (88')
Onyedinma (57'), Kioso (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Cambridge United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Luton Town

On home turf, Cambridge will fancy their chances of pulling off another shock – particularly against a Luton side whose priority will now be the Championship playoff race. We think there is a high chance that this tie will go to extra time or even penalties, but we think that the Yellows will be victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Luton Town
29.7%	25.52%	44.78%

Both teams to score 53.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.18%

49.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19%

71.81%

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18%

30.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9%

67.1%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79%

22.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37%

55.62%

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 29.7%

Luton Town 44.77%

Draw 25.51%

Cambridge United	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 8.06% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.7%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.77%