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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Birmingham City | 46 | -25 | 47 |
21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
56.72% | 23.56% | 19.72% |
Both teams to score 49.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.61% | 50.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.67% | 72.33% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.43% | 17.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.88% | 48.12% |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.11% | 39.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.45% | 76.55% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.65% 4-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.7% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.44% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.32% Total : 19.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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