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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Luton Town

Stoke
1 - 2
Luton

Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stoke City 1-0 Luton Town

Although Luton are enjoying a positive run of form, they tend to struggle against the Potters, with Stoke winning four of the last five meetings between the sides, and we think that the hosts will edge out the Hatters in a cagey contest on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLuton Town
44.49%27.42%28.1%
Both teams to score 47.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06%57.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36%78.64%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09%60.92%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68%36.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.11%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.49%
    Luton Town 28.1%
    Draw 27.41%
Stoke CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 28.1%

How you voted: Stoke vs Luton

Stoke City
50.8%
Draw
20.0%
Luton Town
29.2%
65
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Luton
0-2
Stoke

Hylton (20'), Ruddock (25')
Fletcher (46'), Powell (55')
Davies (20'), Batth (33')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Luton
1-1
Stoke
Dec 10, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
3-0
Luton
McClean (35'), Allen (45', 50')
Lindsay (51')

Collins (29'), Rea (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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