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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Luton Town

Birmingham
3 - 0
Luton

Bacuna (25'), Taylor (46'), Hernandez (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Osho (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham are likely to get on the scoresheet on Saturday, as they have done so in all of their matches in recent weeks, but Luton's momentum could be the difference between the sides this weekend. Jones's side's good form will stand them in good stead to collect three points this weekend, and the visitors will feel they must beat teams in the lower half of the table if they are serious contenders for a top-six spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
27.84%27.69%44.46%
Both teams to score 46.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.99%59.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.52%79.48%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89%37.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11%73.89%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.84%
    Luton Town 44.46%
    Draw 27.68%
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 13.04%
0-2 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.28%
1-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Luton

Birmingham City
19.7%
Draw
25.0%
Luton Town
55.3%
76
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Birmingham
0-1
Luton

San Jose (58'), Harper (62')
Potts (31')
Potts (50')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Luton
Pedersen (45'), Jutkiewicz (82')
Roberts (11')
Cornick (67')
LuaLua (45'), Collins (70'), Cranie (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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