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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Luton Town

Birmingham
3 - 0
Luton

Bacuna (25'), Taylor (46'), Hernandez (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Osho (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham are likely to get on the scoresheet on Saturday, as they have done so in all of their matches in recent weeks, but Luton's momentum could be the difference between the sides this weekend. Jones's side's good form will stand them in good stead to collect three points this weekend, and the visitors will feel they must beat teams in the lower half of the table if they are serious contenders for a top-six spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
27.84%27.69%44.46%
Both teams to score 46.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.99%59.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.52%79.48%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89%37.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11%73.89%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.84%
    Luton Town 44.46%
    Draw 27.68%
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 13.04%
0-2 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.28%
1-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Luton

Birmingham City
19.7%
Draw
25.0%
Luton Town
55.3%
76
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Birmingham
0-1
Luton

San Jose (58'), Harper (62')
Potts (31')
Potts (50')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Luton
Pedersen (45'), Jutkiewicz (82')
Roberts (11')
Cornick (67')
LuaLua (45'), Collins (70'), Cranie (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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