FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 2, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton2 - 3Chelsea
The Match
Team News
Kenedy and Saul Niguez are handed rare Chelsea starts for Wednesday's evening FA Cup fifth round tie at Luton Town.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Luton Town and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's FA Cup fifth-round clash with Luton Town.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their FA Cup fifth-round clash with Luton Town.
We said: Luton Town 0-2 Chelsea
Luton ought to beware a wounded Chelsea seeking to lay down a marker at Kenilworth Road, but not many teams have experienced much joy on the Hatters' turf since the turn of the year. The Luton faithful's hopes of an FA Cup upset are not unfounded by any means, but Tuchel surely cannot fathom any more domestic disappointments just yet, so we still expect the Blues to return to winning ways and book their spot in the quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 63.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.57%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Chelsea |
| 14.68% | 21.8% | 63.52% |
| Both teams to score 45.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.77% | 51.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% | 73.06% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.31% | 46.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.75% | 82.25% |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% | 15.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.56% | 44.43% |
| Score Analysis |
Luton Town 14.68%
Chelsea 63.51%
Draw 21.8%
| Luton Town | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-1 @ 3.92% 2-0 @ 2.1% 3-1 @ 0.99% 3-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.22% Total : 14.68% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 12.57% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-3 @ 7.81% 1-3 @ 5.95% 0-4 @ 3.64% 1-4 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-5 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.06% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.99% Total : 63.51% |
How you voted: Luton vs Chelsea
Luton Town
24.1%Draw
7.6%Chelsea
68.3%224
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2021 12pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Thomas Tuchel: 'Chelsea have long list of injuries'
Head coach Thomas Tuchel says that Chelsea are dealing with 'a long list of injuries' ahead of Wednesday's FA Cup tie at Luton Town.
3 years ago
How Chelsea could line up against Luton Town
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's FA Cup fifth-round clash with Luton Town.
3 years ago
Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Luton Town
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their FA Cup fifth-round clash with Luton Town.
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