Champions League

Champions League | Last 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 22, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 0
Lille

(Chelsea win 4-1 on aggregate)

Havertz (8'), Pulisic (63')
Loftus-Cheek (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ben Arfa (87')

Chelsea duo Mateo Kovacic, Hakim Ziyech injury doubts for EFL Cup final

Chelsea pair Mateo Kovacic and Hakim Ziyech both sustain injuries during the Champions League win over Lille, making them injury doubts for Sunday's EFL Cup final.

Feb 22, 22:57

N'Golo Kante warms up for Chelsea in December 2021

Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel: 'N'Golo Kante produced game-changing display'

Head coach Thomas Tuchel acknowledges that N'Golo Kante produced 'a game-changing performance' during Chelsea's 2-0 victory over Lille in the Champions League.

Feb 22, 22:48

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel after his side's win over Malmo on November 2, 2021.

Chelsea take control of Champions League tie with Lille

Goals from Kai Havertz and Christian Pulisic earn Chelsea a 2-0 victory over Lille in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie at Stamford Bridge.

Feb 22, 21:55

The Match

There is always a danger of Lille breaching the opposition defence when David and Yilmaz are on song, but Les Dogues' form since the turn of the year makes it extremely difficult to envisage any shocks in the English capital. Chelsea have been far from inspiring despite their strong run of results, but a freshened-up team will expect to run out convincing winners and take a healthy first-leg advantage to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lille had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Lille
47.19%	28.49%	24.32%

Both teams to score 41.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.49%

63.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.17%

82.83%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86%

27.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.47%

62.53%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.24%

42.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.92%

79.08%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 47.18%

Lille 24.32%

Draw 28.48%

Chelsea	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 15.13% 2-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 8.39% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.73% Total : 47.18%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.48%	0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.07% Total : 24.32%