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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Cardiff

Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Cardiff City

While Boro are not quite at the point of no return, they will know that a draw will likely be no good to them in the grand scheme of things. With that in mind, we expect an offensive-minded performance from Wilder's men, who we are backing to prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
50.63%25.28%24.09%
Both teams to score 50.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44%52.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78%74.22%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23%20.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59%53.42%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21%36.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42%73.58%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 50.63%
    Cardiff City 24.09%
    Draw 25.27%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 50.63%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 24.09%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
76.8%
Draw
15.2%
Cardiff City
8.0%
138
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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