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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Cardiff

Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Cardiff City

While Boro are not quite at the point of no return, they will know that a draw will likely be no good to them in the grand scheme of things. With that in mind, we expect an offensive-minded performance from Wilder's men, who we are backing to prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
50.63%25.28%24.09%
Both teams to score 50.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44%52.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78%74.22%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23%20.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59%53.42%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21%36.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42%73.58%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 50.63%
    Cardiff City 24.09%
    Draw 25.27%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 50.63%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 24.09%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
76.8%
Draw
15.2%
Cardiff City
8.0%
138
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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