Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
0 - 4
Swansea

Doyle (39'), Ralls (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Obafemi (6', 82'), Cabango (57'), Wolf (78')
Wolf (29'), Fisher (59'), Downes (69'), Piroe (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Bristol City	46	-15	55
18	Cardiff City	46	-18	53
19	Hull City	46	-13	51

Swansea City

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Stoke City	46	5	62
15	Swansea City	46	-10	61
16	Blackpool	46	-4	60

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Swansea City

Cardiff head into the derby in much better form and we think the Bluebirds will come out on top to stop their rivals doing the league double over them. Morison is getting the best out of his team and they could end the season strongly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Swansea City
37.81%	27.73%	34.46%

Both teams to score 48.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69%

57.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.85%

78.14%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71%

29.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.74%

65.25%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.62%

31.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25%

67.75%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 37.8%

Swansea City 34.46%

Draw 27.73%

Cardiff City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.8%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.46%