We said: Swansea City 1-2 Fulham
With Swansea on an upward trajectory, this could prove to be a far more competitive fixture than many would have anticipated as little as a week ago. However, we feel that Fulham will show a greater ruthlessness in the final third to secure another important three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.