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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Pride Park
Fulham logo

Derby
2 - 1
Fulham

Plange (51'), Adarabioyo (73' og.)
Thompson (33'), Lawrence (61'), Allsop (89'), Cashin (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carvalho (20')
Bryan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-0 Fulham
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Fulham

Given Derby's home form, it is difficult to rule out the Rams against any second-tier opponents at Pride Park. However, defeat for Fulham in their last game is the worst thing that could have happened for the East Midlands side, and the inevitable reaction from their opponents should lead to an away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawFulham
23.36%25.12%51.52%
Both teams to score 49.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42%52.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53%37.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75%74.25%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59%20.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16%52.84%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 23.36%
    Fulham 51.52%
    Draw 25.11%
Derby CountyDrawFulham
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.36%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 12.15%
0-2 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-3 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 2%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 51.52%

How you voted: Derby vs Fulham

Derby County
18.8%
Draw
12.0%
Fulham
69.2%
117
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
Fulham
3-0
Derby
Reid (7'), Mitrovic (40'), Cairney (89')
Cavaleiro (34')

Forsyth (45'), Dowell (92')
May 14, 2018 7.45pm
Fulham
2-0
Derby
Sessegnon (47'), Odoi (66')
Johansen (62'), Kamara (74'), McDonald (78'), Bettinelli (90')

Huddlestone (77'), Palmer (78')
May 11, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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