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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Pride Park
Fulham logo

Derby
2 - 1
Fulham

Plange (51'), Adarabioyo (73' og.)
Thompson (33'), Lawrence (61'), Allsop (89'), Cashin (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carvalho (20')
Bryan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-0 Fulham
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Fulham

Given Derby's home form, it is difficult to rule out the Rams against any second-tier opponents at Pride Park. However, defeat for Fulham in their last game is the worst thing that could have happened for the East Midlands side, and the inevitable reaction from their opponents should lead to an away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawFulham
23.36%25.12%51.52%
Both teams to score 49.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42%52.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53%37.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75%74.25%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59%20.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16%52.84%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 23.36%
    Fulham 51.52%
    Draw 25.11%
Derby CountyDrawFulham
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.36%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 12.15%
0-2 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-3 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 2%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 51.52%

How you voted: Derby vs Fulham

Derby County
18.8%
Draw
12.0%
Fulham
69.2%
117
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
Fulham
3-0
Derby
Reid (7'), Mitrovic (40'), Cairney (89')
Cavaleiro (34')

Forsyth (45'), Dowell (92')
May 14, 2018 7.45pm
Fulham
2-0
Derby
Sessegnon (47'), Odoi (66')
Johansen (62'), Kamara (74'), McDonald (78'), Bettinelli (90')

Huddlestone (77'), Palmer (78')
May 11, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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