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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Luton Town

Rotherham
0 - 2
Luton


Hjelde (36'), Quina (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morris (45'), Woodrow (47')
Burke (37'), Campbell (61'), Drameh (78'), Nakamba (90'), Ruddock (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Rotherham
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 Blackpool
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Luton Town

Rotherham United have shown themselves to be tough to beat in recent weeks and will certainly make things difficult for their third-placed visitors, but we see the in-form Hatters having enough quality to get over the line at the New York Stadium and return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLuton Town
28.21% (0.406 0.41) 27.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 44.15% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.397 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35% (0.386 0.39)58.65% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8% (0.3 0.3)79.2% (-0.298 -0.3)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.541 0.54)36.61% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.539 0.54)73.4% (-0.53699999999999 -0.54)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 28.21%
    Luton Town 44.15%
    Draw 27.63%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.21%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 12.87% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 8.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.15%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Luton

Rotherham United
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Luton Town
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
May 4, 2021 7pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-4
Rotherham
Hall (70'), Martin (42')
Martin (16')
Harrison (53'), Reid (11'), Broughton (38')
Mills (16'), Sharps (20'), Broughton (62')
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Luton
Rhodes (61')

Gnakpa (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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