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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Luton Town

Rotherham
0 - 2
Luton


Hjelde (36'), Quina (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morris (45'), Woodrow (47')
Burke (37'), Campbell (61'), Drameh (78'), Nakamba (90'), Ruddock (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Rotherham
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 Blackpool
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Luton Town

Rotherham United have shown themselves to be tough to beat in recent weeks and will certainly make things difficult for their third-placed visitors, but we see the in-form Hatters having enough quality to get over the line at the New York Stadium and return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLuton Town
28.21% (0.406 0.41) 27.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 44.15% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.397 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35% (0.386 0.39)58.65% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8% (0.3 0.3)79.2% (-0.298 -0.3)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.541 0.54)36.61% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.539 0.54)73.4% (-0.53699999999999 -0.54)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 28.21%
    Luton Town 44.15%
    Draw 27.63%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.21%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 12.87% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 8.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.15%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Luton

Rotherham United
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Luton Town
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
May 4, 2021 7pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-4
Rotherham
Hall (70'), Martin (42')
Martin (16')
Harrison (53'), Reid (11'), Broughton (38')
Mills (16'), Sharps (20'), Broughton (62')
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Luton
Rhodes (61')

Gnakpa (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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