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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bristol City

Luton
1 - 0
Bristol City

Morris (4')
Morris (34'), Berry (62'), Bell (78'), Adebayo (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vyner (51'), Pring (64'), Sykes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Luton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Bristol City

Expectation is building at Luton, something which could either boost or destabilise their promotion bid. On this occasion, we feel that it will be the former as we expect the Hatters to put on a professional display, motivated to improve in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawBristol City
49.95% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 25.95% (0.103 0.1) 24.1% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.409 -0.41)55.11% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.339 -0.34)76.36% (0.342 0.34)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (-0.199 -0.2)22.11% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (-0.301 -0.3)55.47% (0.303 0.3)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.261 -0.26)38.2% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.25 -0.25)74.96% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.94%
    Bristol City 24.1%
    Draw 25.95%
Luton TownDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Luton vs Bristol City

Luton Town
64.5%
Draw
17.7%
Bristol City
17.7%
62
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Bristol City
2-0
Luton
Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')
Sykes (67')

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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