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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Luton Town |
30.97% ( -0.27) | 27.8% ( 0.05) | 41.23% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 47.48% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.77% ( -0.26) | 58.23% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.13% ( -0.2) | 78.87% ( 0.2) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% ( -0.33) | 34.27% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% ( -0.36) | 70.97% ( 0.36) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% ( 0) | 27.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% ( 0) | 63.36% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.97% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 41.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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