We said: Preston North End 0-1 Luton Town
Luton games usually tend to be tight affairs, so we do not expect them to win by many, but they should have enough about them to get three points on the board on Wednesday night.
The Hatters' away form has been fantastic all season, while Preston have put in some very poor performances of late, so the likely result is a narrow victory for the visitors.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.