Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 0
Stoke

Ruddock (6')
Drameh (43'), Woodrow (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tymon (38'), Thompson (90+4'), Smallbone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 3-1 Stevenage
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Stoke City

While Luton are regarded as the clear favourites to win this game, their home record has not been convincing. With that in mind and there being a freshness to his Stoke squad after their late pieces of business, we are predicting a competitive share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Stoke City
46.23% ( 0)	25.55%	28.21%

Both teams to score 52.77% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.25% (

50.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.35%

72.65% (

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06% (

21.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78% (

55.22%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

32.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08%

68.92% (

Score Analysis

Luton Town 46.23%

Stoke City 28.22%

Draw 25.55%

Luton Town	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 8.01% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.22%