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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Stoke logo

Luton
1 - 0
Stoke

Ruddock (6')
Drameh (43'), Woodrow (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tymon (38'), Thompson (90+4'), Smallbone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Stoke City

While Luton are regarded as the clear favourites to win this game, their home record has not been convincing. With that in mind and there being a freshness to his Stoke squad after their late pieces of business, we are predicting a competitive share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawStoke City
46.23% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.55%28.21%
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35%72.65% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)55.22%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (0.00099999999999056 0)32.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08%68.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 46.23%
    Stoke City 28.22%
    Draw 25.55%
Luton TownDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Luton vs Stoke

Luton Town
64.5%
Draw
22.6%
Stoke City
12.9%
31
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
2-0
Luton
Powell (3'), Lockyer (13' og.)

Osho (28')
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Luton
0-2
Stoke

Hylton (20'), Ruddock (25')
Fletcher (46'), Powell (55')
Davies (20'), Batth (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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