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Championship | Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Luton Town

Stoke
2 - 0
Luton

Powell (3'), Lockyer (13' og.)
Brown (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Osho (28'), Lockyer (43'), Clark (52'), Morris (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-1 Luton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Luton Town

Both teams will fight hard to return to winning ways in Staffordshire on Saturday, but we struggle to pick a winner and anticipate the visiting Hatters doing enough to deny Neil a first win and force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLuton Town
39.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 28.22%32.56%
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.25%79.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)29.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.47%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27%33.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61%70.39% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.22%
    Luton Town 32.56%
    Draw 28.21%
Stoke CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 39.22%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.56%

How you voted: Stoke vs Luton

Stoke City
31.8%
Draw
26.1%
Luton Town
42.0%
88
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Luton
0-2
Stoke

Hylton (20'), Ruddock (25')
Fletcher (46'), Powell (55')
Davies (20'), Batth (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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