We said: Stoke City 2-1 Coventry City
With both teams having put together successive wins of late, there should be a similar level of belief within both camps. For us, however, Stoke are more likely to respond to their disappointment in midweek, edging this contest courtesy of a strong first-half showing.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.