Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.