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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Stevenage
3 - 0
Bristol Rovers

List (34'), Roberts (54'), Reid (88')
Freestone (65'), Roberts (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lindsay (22'), Wilson (26'), McCormick (71'), Sousa (85')
Lindsay (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Stevenage and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-3 Wycombe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Despite a wretched sequence of results in the lead-up to Sunday's visit to Stevenage, Rovers are undefeated in three trips to Hertfordshire, and they could eke out a draw to extend that unbeaten run in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers
51.62% (0.203 0.2) 26.09% (-0.084 -0.08) 22.29% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.85% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89% (0.198 0.2)57.11% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.02% (0.158 0.16)77.98% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (0.17100000000001 0.17)22.21% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.256 0.26)55.63% (-0.253 -0.25)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.05% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 51.61%
    Bristol Rovers 22.29%
    Draw 26.08%
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.29%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers

Stevenage
25.0%
Draw
16.7%
Bristol Rovers
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
2-3
Bristol Rovers
Thomas (29'), Martin (62'), Evans (67')
Evans (21'), Taylor (22'), Conteh (86')
Conteh (90+5')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Stevenage
Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
Jan 8, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Stevenage

Upson (74'), Craig (90')
Upson (87')
Mackail-Smith (17')
Nugent (24'), Kennedy (30'), Denton (45'), Parrett (58'), Vancooten (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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