Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.