Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.