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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bristol Rovers

Exeter
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers


Diabate (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aguilera (15')
Wilson (17'), Hunt (64'), Crama (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Bristol Rovers

 Bristol Rovers' matches are usually high scoring, and with Exeter rediscovering some decent form since returning to winning ways on Boxing Day, we see no reason why this meeting would be any different. Exeter defeated the Gas very recently in a rescheduled fixture, but we can envisage the visitors gaining some revenge after putting in a good performance when beating Oxford last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
40.53% (0.831 0.83) 25.15% (0.121 0.12) 34.32% (-0.952 -0.95)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.616 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (-0.719 -0.72)46.64% (0.72 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-0.679 -0.68)68.9% (0.681 0.68)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.099000000000004 0.1)22.87% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.145 0.14)56.62% (-0.145 -0.14)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.895 -0.89)26.24% (0.895 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-1.212 -1.21)61.35% (1.214 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 40.53%
    Bristol Rovers 34.32%
    Draw 25.14%
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.291 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.232 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.124 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 34.32%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bristol Rovers

Exeter City
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
Bristol Rovers
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Exeter

Evans (90+3')
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Exeter
Hoole (10')
Brown (24')
Grounds (90')
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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