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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Exeter City

Barnsley
1 - 2
Exeter

Durand de Gevigney (87')
Cotter (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aitchison (17'), Cole (30')
Watts (83'), Hartridge (90+2'), Aitchison (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Exeter City

Exeter's success at Bristol Rovers can only have lifted spirits ahead of another away fixture, yet they are facing one of the form teams in the division. A competitive encounter may play out, yet we cannot back against Barnsley running out victors come the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
BarnsleyDrawExeter City
65.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 19.79% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 14.7% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (0.016000000000005 0.02)42.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)65.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)12.22% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.1% (0.021000000000001 0.02)37.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.42% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)77.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 65.5%
    Exeter City 14.7%
    Draw 19.79%
BarnsleyDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 11.18%
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 7.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.04%
5-0 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 65.5%
1-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 19.79%
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.28%
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 14.7%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Exeter

Barnsley
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
0-1
Barnsley

Aitchison (45'), Cole (70')
McAtee (89')
McCart (6'), Styles (45+1')
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Exeter
3-1
Barnsley
Stansfield (26'), Kite (49'), Nombe (89' pen.)
Thomas (37')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Barnsley
0-2
Exeter
Stansfield (1', 48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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