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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
51.65% ( -0.21) | 24.17% ( 0.06) | 24.18% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.04% ( -0.11) | 47.96% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.87% ( -0.1) | 70.13% ( 0.1) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( -0.12) | 18.56% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.19% ( -0.2) | 49.81% ( 0.21) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.82% ( 0.08) | 34.18% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.13% ( 0.08) | 70.87% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 24.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |