League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Barnsley2 - 1Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
We said: Barnsley 2-0 Carlisle United
Barnsley have so much quality in the forward positions, and we are expecting the home side to have too much for their opponents on Tuesday night. Cole and McAtee are full of goals, and we are backing at least one of the forwards to score in a home success in this clash. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Carlisle United |
58.35% ( -0.01) | 22.49% ( 0) | 19.16% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( -0.01) | 46.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( -0.01) | 69% ( 0) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( -0.01) | 15.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.22% ( -0.01) | 44.78% ( 0.01) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% ( 0) | 38.39% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.85% ( 0) | 75.14% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Barnsley 58.35%
Carlisle United 19.16%
Draw 22.49%
| Barnsley | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.35% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.16% |
How you voted: Barnsley vs Carlisle
Barnsley
97.0%Draw
0.0%Carlisle United
3.0%33
Head to Head
Form Guide
