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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Carlisle United

Barnsley
2 - 1
Carlisle

Cole (58'), Kane (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armstrong (7')
Armstrong (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Carlisle United

 Barnsley have so much quality in the forward positions, and we are expecting the home side to have too much for their opponents on Tuesday night. Cole and McAtee are full of goals, and we are backing at least one of the forwards to score in a home success in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawCarlisle United
58.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 22.49% (0.0019999999999989 0) 19.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)46.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)44.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.14% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 58.35%
    Carlisle United 19.16%
    Draw 22.49%
BarnsleyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.16%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Carlisle

Barnsley
97.0%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Barnsley
0-3
Carlisle

Styles (48'), Andersen (57'), Bahre (83')
McKirdy (24'), Bridge (58' pen.), Thomas (64')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
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1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
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4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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