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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Carlisle United

Barnsley
2 - 1
Carlisle

Cole (58'), Kane (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armstrong (7')
Armstrong (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Carlisle United

Barnsley have so much quality in the forward positions, and we are expecting the home side to have too much for their opponents on Tuesday night. Cole and McAtee are full of goals, and we are backing at least one of the forwards to score in a home success in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawCarlisle United
58.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 22.49% (0.0019999999999989 0) 19.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)46.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)44.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.14% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 58.35%
    Carlisle United 19.16%
    Draw 22.49%
BarnsleyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.16%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Carlisle

Barnsley
97.0%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Barnsley
0-3
Carlisle

Styles (48'), Andersen (57'), Bahre (83')
McKirdy (24'), Bridge (58' pen.), Thomas (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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