League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle2 - 1Port Vale
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Carlisle
Friday, December 29 at 7pm in League One
Friday, December 29 at 7pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 Blackpool
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Port Vale
Having won three of their last five league games, Port Vale head into Monday's contest off the back of a positive run of results, and we think that they will claim another victory when they go up against a Carlisle side that has lost six of their previous nine matches in League One. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Port Vale |
42.19% ( -0.01) | 26.54% ( -0) | 31.27% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
