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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Derby County |
30.62% (![]() | 26.5% (![]() | 42.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.2% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% (![]() | 53.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% (![]() | 74.95% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% (![]() | 32.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% (![]() | 68.48% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.31% (![]() | 24.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.78% (![]() | 59.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 12.59% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 11.05% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |