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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Derby logo

Port Vale
0 - 1
Derby


Iacovitti (71'), Loft (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawDerby County
30.62% (0.814 0.81) 26.5% (0.312 0.31) 42.89% (-1.116 -1.12)
Both teams to score 51.2% (-0.552 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58% (-0.904 -0.9)53.42% (0.912 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05% (-0.769 -0.77)74.95% (0.77800000000001 0.78)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.124 0.12)32.01% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.139 0.14)68.48% (-0.129 -0.13)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.94799999999999 -0.95)24.69% (0.956 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-1.348 -1.35)59.23% (1.358 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 30.62%
    Derby County 42.88%
    Draw 26.49%
Port ValeDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9% (0.345 0.35)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.212 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.279 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 11.05% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.88%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Derby

Port Vale
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Derby County
81.8%
11
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Port Vale
1-2
Derby
Ojo (56')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Derby
1-2
Port Vale
Collins (5')
Harrison (55' pen.), Wilson (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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