EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Nov 7, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Racecourse Ground, Wrexham

Wrexham
2 - 1
Port Vale

Mullin (70'), McClean (83')
McClean (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thomas (31')
McDermott (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Wrexham and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.67%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 22.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Port Vale
55.67% ( 0.01)	21.45% ( 0)	22.87% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.25% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.88% (

-0.03)

37.11% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.69% (

-0.03)

59.3% (

0.03)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.68% (

-0.01)

13.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.83% (

-0.02)

40.16% (

0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

-0.03)

29.34% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

-0.03)

65.32% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 55.67%

Port Vale 22.87%

Draw 21.45%

Wrexham	Draw	Port Vale
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.55% 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.79% Total : 55.67%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.45%	1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 22.87%