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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Wrexham |
39.31% ( -0.16) | 26.42% ( 0.05) | 34.27% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.61% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.86% ( -0.2) | 52.14% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.14% ( -0.17) | 73.85% ( 0.17) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.01% ( -0.17) | 25.98% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39% ( -0.24) | 61% ( 0.24) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% ( -0.03) | 28.92% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.19% ( -0.04) | 64.8% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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