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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Wrexham |
42.39% ( -0.03) | 26.65% ( -0) | 30.96% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.87% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.09% ( 0.01) | 53.91% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.63% ( 0.01) | 75.36% ( -0.01) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( -0.01) | 25.16% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( -0.01) | 59.89% ( 0.01) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.97% ( 0.03) | 32.03% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.51% ( 0.03) | 68.49% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | BarrowBarrow | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Gillingham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Notts County | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Port Vale | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Chesterfield | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Grimsby Town | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
17 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
19 | MK Dons | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
24 | Morecambe | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
> League Two Full Table |