Even with Mullin helplessly watching on from the medical room, goals have not been too hard to come by for this Wrexham crop, who should start as they mean to go on in the EFL Trophy. A depleted squad and low confidence levels surely equals a recipe for disaster for Newcastle's young guns, who seem destined to fall to a 14th successive defeat in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 12.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
72.37% ( -0.11)	15.36% ( 0.36)	12.27% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 61.44% (

-2.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.23% (

-2.66)

26.77% (

2.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.8% (

-3.45)

47.2% (

3.45)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.52% (

-0.63)

6.47% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.8% (

-1.74)

24.2% (

1.74)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7% (

-2.34)

34.3% (

2.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-2.58)

71% (

2.58)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 72.37%

Newcastle United Under-21s 12.27%

Draw 15.36%

Wrexham	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.46) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.77) 4-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.32) 5-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.24) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) 6-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.19) Other @ 4.02% Total : 72.37%	1-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.32% Total : 15.36%	1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.2% Total : 12.27%