Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
24.96% ( -0.14) | 24.43% ( -0.15) | 50.62% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 53.59% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.63% ( 0.52) | 48.37% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.49% ( 0.47) | 70.51% ( -0.47) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.25% ( 0.16) | 33.75% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.59% ( 0.18) | 70.41% ( -0.17) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% ( 0.32) | 19.12% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.24% ( 0.53) | 50.76% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.96% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |