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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Wrexham |
31.04% ( -0.02) | 27.16% | 41.8% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.37% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.16% ( -0.01) | 55.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.04% ( -0.01) | 76.96% ( 0.01) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.03% ( -0.02) | 32.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.45% ( -0.02) | 69.54% ( 0.02) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( 0.01) | 26.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% ( 0.01) | 61.49% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.04% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |