EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 8pm UK

Racecourse Ground, Wrexham

Wrexham
1 - 0
Wigan

Forde (45+4'), Palmer (68'), Barnett (75')

FT
(aet)

Smith (20'), Sze (45')

Wrexham win 4-2 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wrexham and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: Wrexham 1-2 Wigan Athletic

With the league priority for Wrexham and Wigan, both sides could make changes for Tuesday's EFL Cup tie, but we still think that the Latics will have enough quality in their lineup to edge out the League Two side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Wigan Athletic
56.79% ( -0.01)	21.13%	22.08% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.3% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.45% (

36.55% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.3% (

58.7% (

-0)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2% (

-0)

12.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.89% (

-0)

39.11% (

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

29.7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.24% (

0.01)

65.76% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 56.79%

Wigan Athletic 22.08%

Draw 21.13%

Wrexham	Draw	Wigan Athletic
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.06% 4-1 @ 3.44% 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.02% Total : 56.79%	1-1 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.13%	1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.05% Total : 22.08%