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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Wigan logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Wigan


Thompson (27'), Powell (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Keane (54')
Power (32'), Nyambe (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Wigan
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Wigan Athletic

Wigan desperately need to go for the victory on Tuesday, which should play into Stoke's hands. The home side do not have much to play for at this stage of the campaign but are likely to be too strong for Wigan, who look set to drop back down into League One for the 2023-24 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWigan Athletic
53.66% (-0.599 -0.6) 24.9% (0.186 0.19) 21.43% (0.41 0.41)
Both teams to score 48.08% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.28 -0.28)53.62% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.236 -0.24)75.12% (0.232 0.23)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)19.95% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.89% (-0.562 -0.56)52.11% (0.558 0.56)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (0.26 0.26)39.93% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (0.24 0.24)76.59% (-0.244 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.66%
    Wigan Athletic 21.43%
    Draw 24.9%
Stoke CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.84%
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.43%

How you voted: Stoke vs Wigan

Stoke City
75.0%
Draw
6.8%
Wigan Athletic
18.2%
44
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Stoke
2-0
Wigan
Maja (14'), Brown (62')
Thompson (53'), Wilmot (60')

Kerr (45+2'), Edwards (69')
Edwards (74')
Jul 27, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Wigan
2-1
Stoke
Lang (36'), Humphrys (80')
Ince (43')
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Stoke
2-1
Wigan
Batth (55'), Biram Diouf (92')
McClean (41'), Ward (77'), Ndiaye (96')
Morsy (39')
Byrne (54'), Morsy (96')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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