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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Bristol City

Stoke
1 - 2
Bristol City

Powell (36')
Laurent (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-4 Stoke
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Bristol City

Stoke have surely left it too late for a top-six finish but have been a joy to watch over the past few matches, and Neil's men will be confident of lengthening their unbeaten run on Friday. The Robins have continued with their inconsistency in recent times and face a tough assignment in Staffordshire on Good Friday - one we think will end in defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
53.51% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06) 25.16% (0.004999999999999 0) 21.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.24% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33% (0.036999999999999 0.04)54.67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (0.079000000000001 0.08)40.64% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (0.07 0.07)77.23% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.5%
    Bristol City 21.33%
    Draw 25.16%
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Stoke vs Bristol City

Stoke City
82.9%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol City
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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