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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Bristol City

Stoke
1 - 2
Bristol City

Powell (36')
Laurent (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-4 Stoke
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Bristol City

Stoke have surely left it too late for a top-six finish but have been a joy to watch over the past few matches, and Neil's men will be confident of lengthening their unbeaten run on Friday. The Robins have continued with their inconsistency in recent times and face a tough assignment in Staffordshire on Good Friday - one we think will end in defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
53.51% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06) 25.16% (0.004999999999999 0) 21.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.24% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33% (0.036999999999999 0.04)54.67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (0.079000000000001 0.08)40.64% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (0.07 0.07)77.23% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.5%
    Bristol City 21.33%
    Draw 25.16%
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Stoke vs Bristol City

Stoke City
82.9%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol City
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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