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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
39.8% ( 0.29) | 26.59% ( -0.04) | 33.61% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.04% ( 0.14) | 52.96% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.44% ( 0.12) | 74.56% ( -0.12) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( 0.22) | 26.09% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( 0.29) | 61.15% ( -0.29) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -0.08) | 29.75% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% ( -0.1) | 65.82% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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